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The Price of Distrust: How Much Downside Could There Be in U.S. Equities?
For the past 15 years, global investors’ default positioning was to hold U.S. Dollars as the most obvious choice of non-domestic currencies (and maybe most obvious overall choice) and when investing outside their own equity markets, to look first to the U.S. The post...
Have EAFE Banks Become the New “Favorite” for Growth Managers?
Non-US banks in developed markets (“EAFE banks”) have quietly emerged as the top-outperforming segments in global equity markets over the past three years (through Q1 2025). This paper explores the fundamental development of EAFE banks over the past decade, dissecting...
U.S. Fixed Income: Q4 2023 Update
The 4th quarter Treasury and spread rally rescued the broad fixed income market from another year of negative or barely positive (depending on sector) returns. In traditional bond market fashion, however, we find much to worry about with stretched valuations in most...