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A Regime Shift in Private Equity Returns

A Regime Shift in Private Equity Returns

by mowenllc | Oct 1, 2025 | Market Outlooks, Quarterly Reports, Xponance<sup>®</sup> Insights

In this piece, we will look into key structural differences within segments of U.S. private equity strategies (with an emphasis on buyout funds) that are likely to become critical return drivers in the coming years in the evolving macroeconomic environment. The post A...
Passive Fixed Income…NOT: The Case for Active Fixed Income

Passive Fixed Income…NOT: The Case for Active Fixed Income

by mowenllc | Oct 1, 2025 | Market Outlooks, Quarterly Reports, Xponance<sup>®</sup> Insights

In this paper, we begin by examining the differences between equity index construction and fixed income benchmark construction. We then analyze data from the eVestment database to evaluate the performance of the Bloomberg Aggregate index relative to the median active...
Machine Learning in Stock Selection: A Refresher

Machine Learning in Stock Selection: A Refresher

by mowenllc | Aug 15, 2025 | Market Outlooks, Quarterly Reports, Xponance<sup>®</sup> Insights

With equity markets producing vast streams of data from corporate fundamentals to market prices, sentiment, and alternative datasets, machine learning offers the ability to uncover subtle, nonlinear relationships that traditional linear factor models might overlook....
Poised for Lift-Off or Facing Turbulence: Q2 2025 Systematic Global Equities Update

Poised for Lift-Off or Facing Turbulence: Q2 2025 Systematic Global Equities Update

by mowenllc | Jul 24, 2025 | Market Outlooks, Quarterly Reports, Xponance<sup>®</sup> Insights

As we enter the second half of 2025, the next six months are expected to be defined by a slowing global economy, tariff uncertainty, and market volatility. The post Poised for Lift-Off or Facing Turbulence: Q2 2025 Systematic Global Equities Update appeared first on...
The Price of Distrust: How Much Downside Could There Be in U.S. Equities?

The Price of Distrust: How Much Downside Could There Be in U.S. Equities?

by mowenllc | Jul 17, 2025 | Market Outlooks, Quarterly Reports, Xponance<sup>®</sup> Insights

For the past 15 years, global investors’ default positioning was to hold U.S. Dollars as the most obvious choice of non-domestic currencies (and maybe most obvious overall choice) and when investing outside their own equity markets, to look first to the U.S. The post...
U.S. Fixed Income: Q4 2023 Update

U.S. Fixed Income: Q4 2023 Update

by mowenllc | Jan 29, 2024 | Market Outlooks, Quarterly Reports, Xponance® Quarterly Reports, Xponance<sup>®</sup> Insights

The 4th quarter Treasury and spread rally rescued the broad fixed income market from another year of negative or barely positive (depending on sector) returns. In traditional bond market fashion, however, we find much to worry about with stretched valuations in most...
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